Reading Your Business Numbers: From Transaction to Decision
Most business owners I work with know two numbers: the bank balance and the month's total sales. And neither tells them anything they can decide with.
The Number You Look At — and the One You Should
By the end of this lesson you will be able to:
- Understand why neither your bank balance nor your sales total tells you anything you can decide with
- Apply the test “what decision would I make with this number?” to every report you read
- Answer the four questions the course is built on, and see where you hesitated
- Know when this course does not concern you — the most honest case being that your sales are few to begin with
Ask yourself: what was the last number you looked at in your business?
And for most owners the answer is one of two: the bank balance. Or the month's sales total.
And neither tells you anything you can decide with.
The rule this course rests on
Any number that does not change a decision is entertainment.
Read it twice.
The balance tells you where you are now and not where you are going. **And sales tell you that you are
busy and not whether being busy is profitable**.
And the dividing question: what decision would I make if I knew this number? ← **and if there is no
decision, the number is decoration**.
And it is the same criterion we used for the chart of accounts in "From Excel to an Accounting System" —
and the principle is one: do not follow a number to know it, but to decide with it.
Four questions you must be able to answer
And the whole course is built on them:
1. Am I actually making money? ← and not "do I have cash" (lesson two).
2. Where does my profit come from? ← which product and which customer (lessons three and six).
3. How much must I sell not to lose money? ← (lesson four).
4. Will I be able to pay in six weeks? ← (lesson five).
And try them now: answer all four without opening anything. **And if you hesitated on one, that is why you
are here.**
Why people end up "busy and broke"
And this is the commonest case I have seen, and we return to it in lesson six:
A business whose sales grow every month, and whose owner cannot find cash. So they read it as "I need more
sales" ← and make the problem worse.
Because growth itself consumes cash: goods bought before they are sold, customers paying after two months,
and you paying wages today.
So sales are not the answer to every question — and sometimes they are the question.
What this course is not
It is not an accounting course. You will not learn entries or standards, **and you will not become an
accountant — and you do not need to**.
Nor is it about Excel — that is the "Excel for Business" course, **and I assume you can build a simple
sheet**.
Nor about choosing an accounting system — that is "From Excel to an Accounting System".
Nor about collection — that is "Getting Paid", and we will use its results in lesson five.
Nor about pricing — we touch it in lesson seven only as far as the decision goes.
And I will not mention a single figure of my own. **Numbers belong to each business alone, and the method
belongs to nobody.**
And whatever concerns accounting or tax treatment — consult your accountant. **I am teaching you to read,
not to prepare statements.**
When this course does not concern you
Three cases, and I will say them before you continue:
1. Your accountant gives you these numbers and explains them monthly, and you understand them and decide
with them ← your problem is not here.
2. Your business is simple cash sales with no inventory and no terms ← a barber, or a solo service ←
your arithmetic is simpler than a course deserves.
3. Your problem is that your sales are few to begin with ← and this is the most honest. **Reading
numbers does not create sales — the problem is the offer or the market, and you will read correct numbers
about a business that is not growing**.
And the third is the one people resist: numbers improve your decisions, and do not create demand.
What you need to start
And you do not need a system:
- Your sales for the last twelve months
- Your expenses for the same period
- Your bank statement
- And a list of who owes you and who you owe
And if these are in Excel that is enough. **And if they were never gathered at all, that is your first
task — and lesson two assumes you gathered them**.
Action steps
- Write the rule and post it: any number that does not change a decision is entertainment.
- Answer the four questions without opening anything — and record where you hesitated.
- Ask of every report you read: what decision would I make with it?
- Go honestly through "when this does not concern you", starting with the third.
- Gather the four: sales, expenses, a bank statement, and receivables and payables.
- Do not buy a system for the sake of this course.
- Set a fixed monthly time to read your numbers — half an hour.
- Ask your accountant about any accounting treatment you meet, and do not improvise it.
That was the full sample — here is the rest
What you just read is one part. The full edition includes:
- All 8 lessons: profit versus cash, the margin, break-even, the thirteen-week cash forecast, where your profit comes from, and four decisions made with numbers
- The hands-on task and quiz that close every lesson — neither is included in this sample
- A capstone leaving you with four documents and a one-page monthly dashboard, a 32-question audit and a ninety-day plan
- A completion certificate in your name, in Arabic and English